Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Trade Value, Part Two: Bill Guerin


With the NHL Trade Deadline fast approaching, many players will find themselves in new homes. Among those player could be numerous New York Islanders. This week, the discussion of whom may be given the boot goes to Isles captain Bill Guerin.

The 6'2", 220 lb right winger from Worcester, MA was signed by the Islanders on July 5, 2007, and to everyone surprise (including his own), was made captain of the Islanders immediately. His impact was felt right away last year as he led the team in goals (23) and game winning goals (5). He has reached two major accolades with the Islanders, being the first player to score a hat trick with six different teams on October 18, 2007 in Washington, and scored his 400th career NHL goal in a game against Toronto on December 26, 2008.

Guerin may be a good player for the Islanders to ship off this year. He is a proven goal scorer, a natural born leader, and can really put an already established team over the top. His strong hands and quick shot could be something that a borderline playoff team may feel can push them into the next level.

However, there is a problem. Guerin has a no-trade clause which would prevent him from being moved unless he agrees to the deal. It is well known that Guerin loves the Island and would like to stay, but if the right team comes and gives the Islanders a deal, Guerin very well could up-and-leave for a Stanley Cup contender.

Adding to the complications of a deal like this happening is the Islanders salary cap room. Guerin is owed $4,000,000 this year. The Islanders are already close enough to the cap floor, and moving Guerin, along with possibly another player or two could prove costly to the Islanders, as they would be penalized for being under the salary cap.

We all know about the trade rumors which had Guerin going to the Rangers in return for underachieving forward Peter Prucha. While this particular trade would never happen, perhaps a similar deal, which could have Guerin going to a Stanley Cup contender for a mid level prospect and a draft pick could be in the cards.

Prediction: With Guerin's no-trade clause and his large salary, it will be hard for the Islanders to ship him off, however, if the chance comes up for him to play for a Cup contender late in his, career, he may take the chance. Bottom line, Bill Guerin finishes the year on the Island.

Be sure to ceck back next week as the possibility of trading Doug Weight is discussed.

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